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Rabu, 25 Oktober 2017

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Look to 2018: The midterm elections could be the most important ...

The 2018 United States House of Representatives elections will be held on November 6, 2018. Elections will be held to elect representatives from all 435 congressional districts across each of the 50 U.S. states. Non-voting delegates from the District of Columbia and four of the five inhabited U.S. territories will also be elected. The winners of this election will serve in the 116th United States Congress, with seats apportioned among the states based on the 2010 United States Census. Republicans have held a House majority since January 2011 (see 2010 results), although they lost six seats in the 2016 elections.

The midterm elections will take place halfway through Republican President Donald Trump's term. The 2018 Senate elections, 2018 gubernatorial elections, and many state and local elections will also be held on this date.


Video United States House of Representatives elections, 2018



Retiring incumbents

Republicans

Nineteen Republicans are retiring from their seats in 2018.

  1. Florida 27: Ileana Ros-Lehtinen: Retiring
  2. Idaho 1: Raúl Labrador: To run for Governor of Idaho
  3. Indiana 4: Todd Rokita: To run for U.S. Senate
  4. Indiana 6: Luke Messer: To run for U.S. Senate
  5. Kansas 2: Lynn Jenkins: Retiring
  6. Michigan 11: Dave Trott: Retiring
  7. New Mexico 2: Steve Pearce: To run for Governor of New Mexico
  8. Ohio 12: Pat Tiberi: Retiring
  9. Ohio 16: Jim Renacci: To run for Governor of Ohio
  10. Oklahoma 1: Jim Bridenstine: Retiring, to become Administrator of NASA (confirmation pending)
  11. Pennsylvania 11: Lou Barletta: To run for the U.S. Senate
  12. Pennsylvania 15: Charlie Dent: Retiring
  13. South Dakota at-large: Kristi Noem: To run for Governor of South Dakota
  14. Tennessee 2: Jimmy Duncan: Retiring
  15. Tennessee 6: Diane Black: To run for Governor of Tennessee
  16. Tennessee 7: Marsha Blackburn: To run for the U.S. Senate
  17. Texas 3: Sam Johnson: Retiring
  18. Washington 8: Dave Reichert: Retiring
  19. West Virginia 3: Evan Jenkins: To run for the U.S. Senate

Democrats

Ten Democrats are retiring from their seats in 2018.

  1. Arizona 9: Kyrsten Sinema: To run for the U.S. Senate
  2. Colorado 2: Jared Polis: To run for Governor of Colorado
  3. Hawaii 1: Colleen Hanabusa: To run for Governor of Hawaii
  4. Maryland 6: John Delaney: To run for President of the United States
  5. Massachusetts 3: Niki Tsongas: Retiring
  6. Minnesota 1: Tim Walz: To run for Governor of Minnesota
  7. Nevada 3: Jacky Rosen: To run for U.S. Senate
  8. New Hampshire 1: Carol Shea-Porter: Retiring
  9. New Mexico 1: Michelle Lujan Grisham: To run for Governor of New Mexico
  10. Texas 16: Beto O'Rourke: To run for the U.S. Senate

Maps United States House of Representatives elections, 2018


Election predictions

Several sites and individuals publish predictions of competitive seats. These predictions look at factors such as the strength of the incumbent (if the incumbent is running for re-election), the strength of the candidates, and the partisan leanings of the state (reflected in part by the state's Cook Partisan Voting Index rating). The predictions assign ratings to each seat, with the rating indicating the predicted advantage that a party has in winning that seat. Most election predictors use "tossup" to indicate that neither party has an advantage, "lean" to indicate that one party has a slight advantage, "likely" or "favored" to indicate that one party has a significant but not insurmountable advantage, and "safe" or "solid" to indicate that one party has a near-certain chance of victory. Some predictions also include a "tilt" rating that indicates that one party has an advantage that is not quite as strong as the "lean" rating would indicate. If a candidate's name is in parentheses, then the seat is open due to retirement or pursuit of another office.


2018 is beginning to look like a very good year for Democrats ...


Special elections


Presidential Election Is Over, So Let's Talk About the Next One ...


Complete list of elections

Alabama

Alaska

Arizona

Arkansas

California

Colorado

Connecticut

Delaware

Florida

Georgia

Hawaii

Idaho

Illinois

Indiana

Iowa

Kansas

Kentucky

Louisiana

Maine

Maryland

Massachusetts

Michigan

Minnesota

Mississippi

Missouri

Montana

Nebraska

Nevada

New Hampshire

New Jersey

New Mexico

New York

North Carolina

North Dakota

Ohio

Oklahoma

Oregon

Pennsylvania

Rhode Island

South Carolina

South Dakota

Tennessee

Texas

Utah

Vermont

Virginia

Washington

West Virginia

Wisconsin

Wyoming

Non-voting delegates


Crowded field lining up for 2018 Oklahoma governor's race ...


See also

  • United States elections, 2018
    • United States gubernatorial elections, 2018
    • United States Senate elections, 2018
  • 115th United States Congress
  • 116th United States Congress
  • United States elections, 2017

9 Representative Ed Henry Will Not Seek 2018 Re-Election


Notes


2018 United States House Election Prediction - YouTube


References

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